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Against the euro, the pound looks sound

Follow us on....

In this Issue...   Get up to date - Breaking News   Read what our Top Contributors are saying

By Joel Kruger, DailyFX Technical Strategist Talking Points Wild price action could lighten up into Good Friday US Dollar benefiting from solid US data, shift in Fed policy and softer macro picture ADP job report sets the stage for a very solid showing in NFPs on Friday Keeping a close watch on EUR/CHF cross rate which inches closer to 1.2000 floor    Markets are expected to lighten up a bit heading into the latter holiday portion of the week, a possible welcome development given the aggressive moves seen in recent sessions. Indeed, the Greenback has once again gained favor, with the currency mostly well bid across the board on a combination of broader global macro concerns and some solid economic data out of the US. The weakness in the Euro and risk correlated assets has been exacerbated by a European Central Bank that remains downbeat with its assessment of its local economy, and in no rush to look to reverse monetary policy. Also seen recently weighing on the Euro and other risk currencies on Wednesday was a very poorly received Spanish auction which further highlights the ongoing troubles in the region. Elsewhere, the commodity bloc markets have been underperforming, with the sharp pullbacks in gold and oil prices weighing, while the recently more dovish RBA, and some weakening data out of China have also contributed to the sell-off. The most impressive thing about the rebound in the US Dollar has been that the buck is now well bid even on solid US economic data. The Fed's less dovish outlook, with QE3 now seemingly off the table is not necessarily a positive for equity markets right now, but stands to benefit the US Dollar on the yield differential front. The latest very solid ADP job print sets the stage for a healthy NFP number on Friday, and we could be entering a new chapter where the US Dollar continues to benefit from solid economic data. On the strategy front, we have seen a decent pickup in volatility this week, but from our perspective, there haven't been any real compelling setups. One market that could be worth paying close attention to is EUR/CHF, with the cross rate inching closer and closer to testing the well publicized SNB 1.2000 floor. At this point it looks as though the SNB's resolve may be challenged, but we also contend that the Swiss central bank could be closer to action and intervening with risk aversion back on the rise. The flight to safety price action will naturally put downside pressure on EUR/CHF, and the SNB may be forced to once again step in and intervene on behalf of the Franc. As such, we like the idea of looking to buy EUR/CHF on a retest and slight break below 1.2000.   ECONOMIC CALENDAR   TECHNICAL OUTLOOK EUR/USD:     A break of some multi-session consolidation largely confined to the 1.3300's is significant in the short-term and could now open the door for deeper setbacks over the coming sessions. The latest break and close below some key short-term support at 1.3250 highlights this fact, and now exposes a fresh drop towards medium-term support by 1.3000 further down. Back above 1.3400 would be required to negate bearish outlook and put pressure back on topside.     GBP/USD:     Failure to establish any fresh momentum following the break above 1.6000, followed by an aggressive bearish reversal in Tuesday trade now suggests that the market could finally be looking to carve a top in favor of a more significant decline over the coming sessions. Look for a break and close below next support and 1.5830 to reaffirm outlook, while back above 1.6065 would be required to negate.   USD/JPY:     Has been locked in some consolidation since the market broken to fresh 2012 highs beyond 84.00 with technical studies unwinding from overbought levels before consideration is to be given for the next major upside extension. The key levels to watch above and below come in at 84.20 and 81.50 and a break on either end will be required for clearer short term directional bias. However, given the bullish breakout in 2012, all signs point to a major structural shift which favors additional upside beyond 84.20 and into the 85.00-90.00 area further up. Ultimately, only back under 80.00 would give reason for concern.   USD/CHF:     Our core constructive outlook remains well intact with the latest setbacks very well supported by psychological barriers at 0.9000. It now looks as though the market could be looking to carve a fresh higher low, and we will be looking for additional upside back towards the recent range highs at 0.9335 over the coming sessions. Above 0.9335 should then accelerate gains towards the 2012 highs by 0.9600 further up. Ultimately, only back under 0.9000 delays and gives reason for pause.   --- Written by Joel Kruger, DailyFX Technical Currency Strategist Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained in this email are provided as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. Dailyfx will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. The content in this email is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions. Dailyfx has taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the information, however, does not guarantee its accuracy, and will not accept liability for any loss or damage which may arise directly or indirectly from the content or your inability to access the content, for any delay in or failure of the transmission or the receipt of any instruction or notifications sent through this email. Please read the full disclosures here. Additionally, Dailyfx takes your privacy seriously. Please click here to read our privacy policy. Valuable Resources       Click Here for our Chart of the Day   Click Here for our Economic Calendar Click Here for Live Trading Rates Related Blog Posts   Against the euro, the pound looks sound   EUR/CAD and AUD/CAD - Preview: Jobs Data Can Extend CAD Strength   AUD/JPY - Where to Next for Yen Depends on April BOJ Meeting   Follow Me On Twitter! Share this email Did someone forward this to you? Subscribe Here! 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  Today's Topic Summary

Group: http://groups.google.com/group/ForexAbode/topics

• Daily Analysis Updated- April 4th [2 Updates]

 Daily Analysis Updated- April 4th

"ForexAbode.com" <newsletter@forexabode.com> Apr 04 09:25PM +0900  

Dear All,
 

 
April 4th- Today's EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY, GBP/USD,
AUD/USD & USD/CHF : Technical analysis updated - at ForexAbode.com
<http://www.forexabode.com/> .
 

...more

"ForexAbode.com" <newsletter@forexabode.com> Apr 05 12:48PM +0900  

<http://www.forexabode.com/>
 

 
Forex Trading <http://www.forexabode.com/> with ForexAbode.com
 

 

 
From: forexabode@googlegroups.com [mailto:forexabode@googlegroups.com] On ...more

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Only For Adults...

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Dear Investors/Readers/Wellwishers,

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  Today's Topic Summary

Group: http://groups.google.com/group/globalspeculators/topics

• EM Quarterly: The Next Leg | Citi [1 Update]
• BHEL / Sell / TP - 250 | Citi [1 Update]
• US court allows lawsuit to proceed against TCS covering 13000 employees [1 Update]
• {LONGTERMINVESTORS} INTERNATIONAL SECTOR & COMPANY RESEARCH REPORTS....Thread [1 Update]
• {LONGTERMINVESTORS} Market buzz, Whispers, Rumours, Heard on the street...Thread. [2 Updates]
• Euro fears return to spook Wall Street, Asian markets [1 Update]
• {LONGTERMINVESTORS} Britannia Industries...Thread [1 Update]
• {LONGTERMINVESTORS} Investment Quotes from Legends: thread [1 Update]
• OBC, Eicher Motors [1 Update]

 EM Quarterly: The Next Leg | Citi

Jay Shah <jayoo.2000@gmail.com> Apr 05 08:02AM +0530  

--
Best Regards,
Jay Shah, FRM
*Expect the unexpected!!!
*
...more

 BHEL / Sell / TP - 250 | Citi

Jay Shah <jayoo.2000@gmail.com> Apr 05 07:57AM +0530  

--
Best Regards,
Jay Shah, FRM
*Expect the unexpected!!!
*
...more

 US court allows lawsuit to proceed against TCS covering 13000 employees

alok agarwal <alok.groups@gmail.com> Apr 05 06:02AM +0530  

The US district court of Northern California on Monday allowed two former
employees of I-T giant Tata Consultancy Services Ltd [ Get ...more

 {LONGTERMINVESTORS} INTERNATIONAL SECTOR & COMPANY RESEARCH REPORTS....Thread

RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Apr 05 10:03AM +0530  

AIG - 4Apr: Credit Suisse
 
 
--
CA. Rajesh Desai
...more

 {LONGTERMINVESTORS} Market buzz, Whispers, Rumours, Heard on the street...Thread.

RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Apr 04 04:30PM +0530  

Can Markets Continue to Rise Without More
QE?<http://www.cnbc.com/id/46948931><http://www.cnbc.com/id/46948931>
 
The negative market reaction to signs that the Federal Reserve is unlikely ...more

RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Apr 05 09:45AM +0530  

GAAR won't be rolled back, says finance ...more

 Euro fears return to spook Wall Street, Asian markets

RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Apr 05 10:29AM +0530  

*Hong Kong*: It's a good thing the Indian markets are closed for today:
it's a rotten day to be trading, given the widespread downbeat sentiment
everywhere.
 
This morning, there's been a ...more

 {LONGTERMINVESTORS} Britannia Industries...Thread

RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Apr 05 10:24AM +0530  

Britannia eyes bigger mkt share in health food segment
 
With the market for health snacks and health food seeing healthy growth,
bread to biscuit major, ...more

 {LONGTERMINVESTORS} Investment Quotes from Legends: thread

RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Apr 04 06:01PM +0530  

"Managers thinking about accounting issues should never forget one of
Abraham Lincoln's favorite riddles: 'How many legs does a dog have if you
call his tail a leg?' The answer: 'Four, because ...more

 OBC, Eicher Motors

Amit shah <imamitshah@gmail.com> Apr 04 04:22PM +0530  

PFA
...more

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HONDA ZOOMS PAST `HAMARA BAJAJ`

Doval, TNN | Apr 4, 2012, 02.19AM IST

NEW DELHI: It is one of the biggest upsets in the Indian two-wheeler
industry. Within just over a year of going solo in India, Japanese
giant Honda has beaten 'Hamara Bajaj' with a comprehensive lead to
emerge as the second-biggest two-wheeler maker, behind Hero MotoCorp
(erstwhile Hero Honda) of the Munjals.

Honda sells two-wheelers through Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India
(HMSI) after the split with Munjals. It has been aggressively ramping
up production as well as sales, both in scooters and motorcycles.

Bajaj, on the other hand, has been launching products only in
motorcycles as its managing director Rajiv Bajaj has made a conscious
decision to bid adieu to the erstwhile bread-and-butter scooter
segment.

According to industry sources, HMSI sold 2,12,812 units in March,
while Bajaj could manage 2,10,383 units. HMSI had been taking pot
shots at Bajaj's position for some time now and is even believed to
have surged past the Indian company once earlier, though it could not
maintain the lead.

HMSI has its feet firmly placed in both the fast-growing segments of
the two-wheeler market - motorcycles and scooters. The company has the
distinction of single-handedly reviving the near-dead scooter market
in India after Bajaj started withdrawing from it due to poor sales. It
also rapidly made inroads into the volume-laden motorcycle segment.
This also saw the company edge out TVS from the third position.

While Honda's Activa and Dio are popular scooter models, Shine and
Unicorn have given the company a good position in motorcycles. HMSI is
set to make its most ambitious push with the Yuga, a 110cc motorcycle
that will mark its foray in the volume-laden entry segment.

Bajaj, however, believes it is too early to make any judgment. K
Srinivas, president of Bajaj's motorcycle business, said, "One swallow
does not a summer make... We are indifferent to someone else's sales
of scooters or mopeds as its irrelevant to our business." He said
Bajaj is a "motorcycle specialist" and is the world's most profitable
and third-largest motorcycle maker. The company wants a bigger play
worldwide in the coming years.

For full article click on below link
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/Honda-zooms-past-Hamara-Bajaj/articleshow/12525467.cms

DISCLAIMER: - Smart Profit has taken due care and caution in
compilation of data for its reports. The market view and investment
tips expressed on Smart Profit are in no way a guarantee either
express or implied. However, Smart Profit does not guarantee the
accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not
responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained
from the use of such information. CEO, Directors and staff may have a
position in the recommended stock.

FOR FURTHER DETAILS CONTACT:-

SUMAN JAIN
(CEO)
+919820041126
Email: sumanjain@smartprofit.in

ANKITA JAIN
(Director)
+919819854402
Email: ankita@smartprofit.in

DIPAK MANGELA
(Research Analyst)
+919820260291
Email: dipak.mangela@smartprofit.in

SHAILESH GOWDA
(Sr. Executive)
+919967394114
Email: shailesh.gowda@smartprofit.in

MANSINGH RAI
(Sr. Executive)
+919320907684
Email: mansingh.rai@smartprofit.in

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HONDA ZOOMS PAST `HAMARA BAJAJ`

Doval, TNN | Apr 4, 2012, 02.19AM IST

NEW DELHI: It is one of the biggest upsets in the Indian two-wheeler
industry. Within just over a year of going solo in India, Japanese
giant Honda has beaten 'Hamara Bajaj' with a comprehensive lead to
emerge as the second-biggest two-wheeler maker, behind Hero MotoCorp
(erstwhile Hero Honda) of the Munjals.

Honda sells two-wheelers through Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India
(HMSI) after the split with Munjals. It has been aggressively ramping
up production as well as sales, both in scooters and motorcycles.

Bajaj, on the other hand, has been launching products only in
motorcycles as its managing director Rajiv Bajaj has made a conscious
decision to bid adieu to the erstwhile bread-and-butter scooter
segment.

According to industry sources, HMSI sold 2,12,812 units in March,
while Bajaj could manage 2,10,383 units. HMSI had been taking pot
shots at Bajaj's position for some time now and is even believed to
have surged past the Indian company once earlier, though it could not
maintain the lead.

HMSI has its feet firmly placed in both the fast-growing segments of
the two-wheeler market - motorcycles and scooters. The company has the
distinction of single-handedly reviving the near-dead scooter market
in India after Bajaj started withdrawing from it due to poor sales. It
also rapidly made inroads into the volume-laden motorcycle segment.
This also saw the company edge out TVS from the third position.

While Honda's Activa and Dio are popular scooter models, Shine and
Unicorn have given the company a good position in motorcycles. HMSI is
set to make its most ambitious push with the Yuga, a 110cc motorcycle
that will mark its foray in the volume-laden entry segment.

Bajaj, however, believes it is too early to make any judgment. K
Srinivas, president of Bajaj's motorcycle business, said, "One swallow
does not a summer make... We are indifferent to someone else's sales
of scooters or mopeds as its irrelevant to our business." He said
Bajaj is a "motorcycle specialist" and is the world's most profitable
and third-largest motorcycle maker. The company wants a bigger play
worldwide in the coming years.

For full article click on below link
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/Honda-zooms-past-Hamara-Bajaj/articleshow/12525467.cms

DISCLAIMER: - Smart Profit has taken due care and caution in
compilation of data for its reports. The market view and investment
tips expressed on Smart Profit are in no way a guarantee either
express or implied. However, Smart Profit does not guarantee the
accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not
responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained
from the use of such information. CEO, Directors and staff may have a
position in the recommended stock.

FOR FURTHER DETAILS CONTACT:-

SUMAN JAIN
(CEO)
+919820041126
Email: sumanjain@smartprofit.in

ANKITA JAIN
(Director)
+919819854402
Email: ankita@smartprofit.in

DIPAK MANGELA
(Research Analyst)
+919820260291
Email: dipak.mangela@smartprofit.in

SHAILESH GOWDA
(Sr. Executive)
+919967394114
Email: shailesh.gowda@smartprofit.in

MANSINGH RAI
(Sr. Executive)
+919320907684
Email: mansingh.rai@smartprofit.in

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