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After witnessing tremendous growth, two wheeler industry is dipping downwards towards sluggish demand and single digit growth. As estimated by us, two wheeler industry merely reported growth of 6% in last quarter compare to 15 % last year.
Downfall in economic growth, drying out of rural demand, hike in petrol price and interest rate, increasing cost, over supply due to increasing competition from MNCs have left Indian domestic two wheeler market at a stagnant point.
In the month of July 2012third largest two-wheeler maker of Indian market Bajaj Auto today reported 2.90 per cent fall in motorcycle sales at 3,08,858 units in July. BAL said exports also fell by 12.84 per cent during the month at 1,25,501 units compared to 1,43,996 units in July 2011. TVS Motors equally had a slope down in sales falling to 1,61,255 units in July 2012 from 1,89,962 units in July 2011, a fall of almost 15%. Their exports fell by 32 %.Hero MotoCorp July total sales were down 1.5% at 4.84 lakh units versus 4.91 lakh units, YoY.
At the same time, there is another side to this coin. Domestic players are losing grounds and MNC players like Honda, Suzuki& Yamaha are strengthening their position in Indian market.
Honda showed tremendous growth of 56.90 % reporting sales of 2,39,094 units compare to 1,52,382 units in the corresponding month of the previous year.
Honda wants
The company, which recently appointed Bollywood star Akshay Kumar as its brand ambassador, has so far invested Rs 5,000 crore in
Suzuki and Yamaha are as determined to push the envelope aggressively while Piaggio has already launched in Vespa and looking forward for much more to come.
Suzuki , with its continued investment in its current plant in Gurgaon, as well as setting up on new plant in Rohtak ( Haryana), plans to deliver 1 million two wheelers by 2014.The point to capture here is clear. Moderating demand of two wheeler along with increasing competition from Japanese makers is indeed a dangerous threat to our domestic players. When the market is slowing down and competition from technologically ahead MNC players is stiffening, who is losing the game? The answer can be found in our recent results where domestic players have began the downward ride.
Hero Motocorp won't be much affected by the MNCs as they still follow the technology of the world leader Honda.
They recently announced an investment of over Rs 2500 crore in setting up two new plants, expanding capacity at existing plants and in building an integrated R&D centre (at Kukas in Rajasthan). With this expansion, total installed capacity of the company would be touching more than nine million units in two years' time, which is equal to 7.5 lakhs units per month.
As seen in the past with the other industries of India like 4 wheeler industry, television sets industry, electrical industry Air Conditioner industry, fridge industry and many more where MNCs have captured the major market share leaving the domestic players shutting down , the trend seems to be repeating in this two wheeler industry of India. Predicting the future of this industry becomes easy as the MNCs are taking over control over the Indian market and slowly choking off the domestic makers of the Indian two wheeler industry. So it won't be a surprise to see 90 % of market share owning will be of the MNCs and Hero motocorp after the timeframe of 2 years, and the rest 10 % will be belonging to BAJAJ AUTO, TVS, Mahindra and other local players.
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Has anyone heard similar incident with Railway booking system? Question is out of curiosity..
On Fri, Oct 5, 2012 at 12:17 PM, value pick <valuepick@rediffmail.com> wrote:
Even a single stock broker can halt the entire trading of our premier stock exchange !!!
Rgds
Rajesh
On Fri, 05 Oct 2012 12:12:04 +0530 wrote
>Moneycontrol Bureau
The National Stock Exchange has said the steep fall in the benchmark Nifty
index, triggering the intra-day circuit filter and causing cash market
trading to halt, was caused by a large sell order. It was not caused by a
faulty algorithmic order, the bourse said, reports CNBC-TV18.
In an algorithmic order, a trading software executes the trade according to the command(s) fed into it
Following is the full text of NSE's clarification on the fall:
The market opened normally today and Nifty opened at 5,815. At 9.50.58
Nifty circuit filter got triggered upon which the cash market was closed
automatically. The Nifty fall was apparently on account of abnormal
orders resulting in multiple trades at low prices. While the Exchange
systems functioned normally without any glitch, the above abnormal
trades caused market closure automatically due to the index circuit
filter getting triggered. The market was reopened by the Exchange with a
pre-open phase at 10.00.22 and trading resumed at 10.05.00. The market
is functioning normally and the incident is being investigated.
On Fri, Oct 5, 2012 at 12:04 PM, neelam jain wrote:
These kind of panic selling shakes investors confidence.
And as sharadji said , someone is gonna loose job !! as the trade was done from one specific terminal.
On 5 October 2012 11:59, Sharad Joshi wrote:
Somebody made some mistake knowingly or unknowingly but somebody is going to loose the job is definite.
With reforms in full form and govt desperate to sell PSU stks there can be political angle also.It is well known fact that stk mkt members have sympathy for BJP.
Sharad Joshi
On Fri, Oct 5, 2012 at 11:19 AM, rajinder sharma wrote:
With so many stocks tumbling it cannot be a freak trade.
One stock or two maybe.
This is a deliberate thing.
Objective:- Tank and start buying from 10% low's
such moves are known to be signals to some operators.
On Fri, Oct 5, 2012 at 10:52 AM, neo wrote:
Not a freak trade.
Another rigged operation by some HFT software operators..
These manipulations are happening with so much frequency without anyone getting punished, yet some people object to calling our stock market a casino.
On Fri, Oct 5, 2012 at 10:17 AM, Golden Star wrote:
Please find attached lows for the Day
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Regards,
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ISG is an open forum for expressing views. Members recommending stocks may have positions thus having vested interest in the same. Individual members are requested to do their own research and/or consult a certified financial planner before making decisions with respect to buying and selling stocks or derivatives.
ISG, it's owner and moderators do not take any responsibility for the views expressed in the forum and any consequences including financial, legal or otherwise resulting from actions based on such views.
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"True Generalship Lies In Converting Sure Defeat Into Victory"
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>
"Invest in Knowledge, Share with Others, Grow Together"
>
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>
>
Contact Moderators : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/viewform?formkey=dDVMTEtSZTR5YVBEODNkTThSNXhackE6MQ#gid=0
>
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Submit KYM: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/viewform?formkey=dHpkZnRfTlVValVObk5HRG1qdVhtSGc6MQ#gid=0
>
>
ISG is an open forum for expressing views. Members recommending stocks may have positions thus having vested interest in the same. Individual members are requested to do their own research and/or consult a certified financial planner before making decisions with respect to buying and selling stocks or derivatives.
>
>
ISG, it's owner and moderators do not take any responsibility for the views expressed in the forum and any consequences including financial, legal or otherwise resulting from actions based on such views.
>
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Follow Rediff Deal ho jaye! to get exciting offers in your city everyday.
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ISG is an open forum for expressing views. Members recommending stocks may have positions thus having vested interest in the same. Individual members are requested to do their own research and/or consult a certified financial planner before making decisions with respect to buying and selling stocks or derivatives.
ISG, it's owner and moderators do not take any responsibility for the views expressed in the forum and any consequences including financial, legal or otherwise resulting from actions based on such views.
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"Invest in Knowledge, Share with Others, Grow Together"
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Contact Moderators : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/viewform?formkey=dDVMTEtSZTR5YVBEODNkTThSNXhackE6MQ#gid=0
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ISG is an open forum for expressing views. Members recommending stocks may have positions thus having vested interest in the same. Individual members are requested to do their own research and/or consult a certified financial planner before making decisions with respect to buying and selling stocks or derivatives.
ISG, it's owner and moderators do not take any responsibility for the views expressed in the forum and any consequences including financial, legal or otherwise resulting from actions based on such views.
