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More Of The Same!

  • By eToro
  • Postado Monday, December 19, 2011 at 6:38 AM
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    Forex Market Outlook 12/19/11

    By  on Dec 19, 2011 02:26:16 GMT

    The big news of the weekend is the death of N. Korea's crazy leader Kim Jong Il, which has provided a minor bit of uncertainty in the Pac Rim as it is expected that his son will succeed him.  The goes to show that uncertainty is sometimes worse from a market perspective than the removal of a bad situation.  I would though have thought that markets would have rejoiced and rallied, but uncertainty rules.

     

    However the markets have bounced back from early selling in Asia and look to open higher here in the US, with both stocks and commodities trading higher.  There is still a lot of risk emanating from the Euro zone, and the potential for credit downgrades is looming.

     

    In Spain, bad loans were up as the Spanish banking system attempts to withstand the fallout from the housing bust there and maintain stability despite unemployment that is over 20%, the highest in Europe.  This comes after word form ECB chief Draghi maintained that the ECB would not step up their bond purchases, electing to adhere to the Central bank's mandate rather than favoring practicality.

     

    Later today, Euro leaders will conduct a conference call where they attempt to hammer out the details of the fiscal pact they agreed to at their last meeting.  This unlikely to be the final word on the matter and Euro leaders have contributed to the economic demist they are seeing by dragging their feet and not responding to the crisis more swiftly.

     

    Meanwhile they have been swift in asking others for money, particularly the IMF.  EU leaders are calling for an additional $261 billion from the IMF and are asking the UK for $50 billion.  Good luck with that.  The Euro has been vacillating around the 1.30 level vs. USD, which is surprisingly strong given the state of affairs in Europe.

     

    This is a holiday-shortened week so volume may decline as we approach the weekend.  News this week from the EU includes German PPI and economic sentiment figures tomorrow, though there is not much else from a data perspective.  This is not to say that there won't be any news, but I will more likely be of an unexpected nature.

     

    There is more news due out from the UK, including the release of the rate policy meeting minutes on Wednesday and GDP figures on Thursday.  This could be supportive of the Pound if the BOE decides to take a wait and see approach or if GDP comes in better than expected.  The data in the UK has been relatively strong in my opinion, though the markets are a discounting mechanism so surprises could happen to the upside.

     

    In Japan, the rate policy meeting on Thursday is expected to produce no change as the Yen has virtually stopped trading vs. USD.  There has not been a lot of volatility in this pair, which is just fine by the BOJ.  But, there could be some Yen movement if problems emerge from N. Korea.

     

    From the commodity currency bloc, the release of the RBA meeting minutes in Australia tomorrow, followed by Canadian CPI data on Wednesday and GDP figures on Friday, and rounded out by GDP figures in New Zealand could have an effect on the risk trade.  Gold is sitting at $1600 with oil just above $94.

     

    Lastly here in the US, the news releases are heavier toward the end of the week highlighted by the release of GDP figures on Thursday and some ancillary releases packed in.  Markets are hoping to escape for the holidays with little fanfare and many are looking forward to putting this year behind us.

     

    While the data here in the US has largely been positive, it is hard to buck the feelings of malaise that overhang the markets and the economy in general. There is absolutely no confidence that things are going to improve, and people are just waiting for the next shoe to drop.  This is no way to run an economy as fear trumps sanity and then things don't improve.  Combine this with EU leaders essentially holding the world hostage through their non-actions, and we find the global economy floundering.

     

    Will this continue into next year?  Unfortunately, I think so.

     

     

     

     

     

     

      

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     
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    WSSFX.com : SELL GBPUSD @1.5514

    • By eToro
    • at 6:30 AM
    Dear FX Trader,

    We have just opened a trade at 2011.12.19 14:30:01 (GMT)
    *** SELL GBPUSD @1.5514 ***
    *** Stop Loss @ 1.5653 ***
    *** Take Profit @ 0.0000 ***


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    - Hongkong, China : 2011.12.19 22:30:01
    - Tokyo, Japan : 2011.12.19 23:30:01
    - Sydney, Australia : 2011.12.20 01:30:01

    More time information : http://wwp.greenwichmeantime.com

    How to define Lot Size?
    We prefer use 10% balance. Example:
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    Abridged summary of kursus-forex@googlegroups.com - 2 Messages in 2 Topics

    • By eToro
    • at 4:57 AM

    Group: http://groups.google.com/group/kursus-forex/topics

      Clark Raymond <raymond.orkid@gmail.com> Dec 18 10:02PM +0800  

      BOOMING ! INVESTASI AMAN DAN TERPERCAYA !
      KEUNTUNGAN 2,8% PER HARI X 60 HARI KALENDER !
      PERACIKAN TERSEDIA 0% - 100% !
      POKOK INVESTASI DIKEMABALIKAN 100% !
      PENARIKAN INSTAN !
      DEPOSITO DAN ...more

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    [ForexAbode.com] Abridged summary of ForexAbode@googlegroups.com - 1 Message in 1 Topic

    • By eToro
    • at 3:18 AM

    Group: http://groups.google.com/group/ForexAbode/topics

      "ForexAbode.com" <newsletter@forexabode.com> Dec 18 08:39PM +0900  

      Dear All,
       

       
      Weekend Forex Analysis updated for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, AUD/USD,
      GBP/USD, USD/CHF, GBP/JPY & AUD/JPY.
       

       
      Please check the links for the same at:
      ...more

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    Merry Christmas from Invest2Success

    • By eToro
    • at 3:16 AM
    Click the Link Below for this Christmas Week Stock Pick

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    Good day, good investing and trading!

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    {GS} Abridged summary of globalspeculators@googlegroups.com - 8 Messages in 3 Topics

    • By eToro
    • at 1:24 AM

    Group: http://groups.google.com/group/globalspeculators/topics

      RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Dec 19 11:08AM +0530  

      *Wockhardt down over 4% *
       
      Wockhardt is down over 4% at Rs.321.50, with an intra day high and low at
      Rs.333.60 and Rs.317 respectively. Over 31,000 shares have changed hands
      since morning, valued ...more
      RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Dec 19 12:15PM +0530  

      Chetan Ahya of Morgan Stanley expects fiscal deficit for FY12 to come in at
      6%. Speaking to CNBC-TV18, he says, "Including off-budget expenses, the
      figure could be nearly 9% of GDP."
      ...more
      RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Dec 19 12:16PM +0530  

      Orchid Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals has touched a 52-week low of Rs
      113.65.
      Orchid Chemicals has raised USD 100 million via ECB for FCCB redemption
       
       
      --
      CA. Rajesh Desai
      ...more
      RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Dec 19 11:09AM +0530  

      *Shriram EPC buzzing *
       
      Shriram EPC opened the day high at Rs.93.20 and though it sustained at
      those levels for some time, it has since then slipped to Rs.91, which is
      the day's low point and ...more
      RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Dec 19 09:52AM +0530  

      *HCL Tech hardens on outsourcing pact with AstraZeneca*
       
      As per the contract, HCL Technologies (HCL) will be responsible for the
      provision, management and transformation of AstraZeneca's global ...more
      RAJESH DESAI <stockdesai@gmail.com> Dec 19 11:07AM +0530  

      *Borosil Glass up on buyback *
       
      Borosil Glass Works is up 6.3% at Rs.820 after having scaled an intra day
      high at Rs.823.90. It opened at Rs.793, which was the day's low point. At ...more
      alok agarwal <alok.groups@gmail.com> Dec 17 09:33PM +0530  

      MUMBAI: Billionaire investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala</topic/Rakesh-Jhunjhunwala>,
      whose long-term bets have earned him popular titles such as 'the big bull',
      now faces a lot of red in his portfolio.
      ...more
      alok agarwal <alok.groups@gmail.com> Dec 17 09:35PM +0530  

      The city-based state-run lender Bank of India today became the second major
      bank, after the SBI, to abolish the pre-payment charges on both fixed and
      floating rate home loans, with immediate effect. ...more

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    HOT VIDEOS 2 HOT PEOPLE AND ACTRESSES NEVER SEEN PHOTOS

    • By eToro
    • at 1:03 AM
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    ne

    • By eToro
    • at 1:03 AM
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    HOT VIDEOS 2 HOT PEOPLE AND ACTRESSES NEVER SEEN PHOTOS

    • By eToro
    • at 12:56 AM
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    HOT VIDEOS 2 HOT PEOPLE AND ACTRESSES NEVER SEEN PHOTOS

    • By eToro
    • at 12:56 AM
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