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Result Analysis: 2QFY14

 
Result Analysis: 2QFY14
 
 
 
(Refer Table:  Corporate India's 2nd Quarter YoY growth (%) for 10 years)

1.       Corporates continued to display their dismal performance for 2QFY14.

2.       In last 10 financial year's second quarter, Sep-09 was the worst second quarter. Sep-13 quarter's performance is only better than that quarter.

3.       Midcap & Smallcap continued to face brunt of slowdown in overall economy.

4.       For the 3rd continuous quarter, at aggregate level, small cap posted whopping loss, -265% YoY profit growth.

5.       Surprisingly, Largecap still managed to post double digit growth in the topline as well as bottomline.

 

(Refer Chart: Trend in Corporate India's Quarterly YoY Topline growth (%))

6.       Silver lining in dark cloud:  YoY Sales growth suggest that we may be in the turnaround phase and Sales should bounce from this level.

 

(Refer Profits Charts)

7.       Profitability over past 5 years:

·         Sep-13 quarter's aggregate profits are higher than Sep-08 quarter's profits, by just 8.5% (~1.7% CAGR).

·         However, in Largecap profits are up by 43% (~8% CAGR, which is not bad, neither encouraging, especially if we consider inflation).

·         Midcap profits are lower by 23%. (~ -5.1% CAGR),

·         And Small Cap which was profitable to the extent of Rs 55 bn is now loss making of Rs 22 bn, which is real a big concern.

 

(Refer Margin Charts)

8.       Squeezed Margins, may Impact economic activities and further  fuel inflation.

·         Over the past 5 years profit margins have squeezed to lowest level.

·         Largecap now operating at 11%, against 15+% during pre-crisis period.

·         Midcap now operating at 3.5%, against 9%+ during pre-crisis period.

·         Smallcap are at NEGATIVE margin of 1%, against 6%+ during pre-crisis period.

·         If there is no room further possibility of contraction, it will impact the level of activities in the economy and may also fuel inflation.

 

(Refer Table: Key Sectors which Impacted India Inc's Profits in Sep-13 quarter)

9.       Sectors where there is 'Stress':

Mostly sectors which are building block of any economy.

Eng & Capital Goods, Power, Sugar, Cement, Infrastructure, Construction

 

10.   Sectors which are negating the stress:

Mostly consumption based and sectors which benefits due to fall in Rupee's value.

 

I.T., Auto, Telecom, FMCG, Pharma
 

http://quantspartner.com/ResultAnalysis2QFY14.aspx

 

Thanks & Regards,

Quants Partner

Quants.Partner@yahoo.com  Quants.Partner@hotmail.com  Quants.Partner@gmail.com

 

About Us:

www.QuantsPartner.com is a website which aims to help investor and analyst by providing Excel Financial models and a 2 minute scanner of a company in PDF .

The scanner is a 6 page "chartical report", where you will get a quick overview of the company as a whole. Once an analyst has fair idea about the company's financial health, and he wants to undertake a detailed analysis, and share it with other, he should look for "Financial Model" (an excel file) which has all the data in a standardized form for easy n smooth working. As you tinker with basic numbers, its impact on all other numbers & ratio can be seen..

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